Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Monmouth Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2810eaa9169db86779d9e632f641bc0747ab588c3c66b96c82c43e76986c4727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Elon Phoenix, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 26c | 1,957$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.88 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Monmouth Hawks | 73c | 1,490$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Elon Phoenix | 28c | 800.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 737.26$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monmouth Hawks | 72c | 609.31$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Monmouth Hawks | 76c | 303.8$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 24c | 301.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 41c | 297.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Elon Phoenix | 27c | 286.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 256.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Elon Phoenix | 40c | 249.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elon Phoenix | 34c | 208.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 177.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Monmouth Hawks | 60c | 175.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 171.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Monmouth Hawks | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Monmouth Hawks | 60c | 152.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…5d0bbacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 135.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Elon Phoenix | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Elon Phoenix | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 83.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Monmouth Hawks | 73c | 61.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Monmouth Hawks | 61c | 57.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Monmouth Hawks | 78c | 47.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Monmouth Hawks | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Monmouth Hawks | 60c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Monmouth Hawks | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. Monmouth Hawksthis page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.