Lol · resolved market
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28184df747727881d6cb574267199da1d6362cdefe426f15266f590b797ba46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof KT Rolster Challengers, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 Academy | 56c | 5,383$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.36 | 2,574 | 39.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L | -81.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 5,060$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.74 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed T1 Academy | 55c | 772.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.41 | 1,341 | 38.4%515 W · 826 L | -70.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 579$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 553.33$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed T1 Academy | 56c | 314$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 488 | 36.5%178 W · 310 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed T1 Academy | 55c | 238$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,877 | 39.9%749 W · 1,128 L | -66.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 227$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 573 | 34.4%197 W · 376 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked T1 Academy | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3,032 | 44.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L | -100.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…d335backed KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 128.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed T1 Academy | 57c | 107.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…3f84backed T1 Academy | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 66.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 642 | 51.1%328 W · 314 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 638 | 42%268 W · 370 L | -55.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupT1 Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.