Champions League · resolved market
Shamrock Rovers FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x288991b6ad3b5135827681de9fd8e008deea353560664937467f3dcc4830eaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,926$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.85 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 74c | 1,660$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.97 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,623$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.24 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 334.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 72c | 321.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 73c | 307.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 17c | 299.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 73c | 108$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 160 | 35.6%57 W · 103 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 72c | 99.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 83.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked No | 73c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.