Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milutinovic vs Nadja Mladenovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2894199208c720b977a1ff494795e0bdb4927be91de8131c7a57aa642f35e755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Milutinovicof Elena Milutinovic, Nadja Mladenovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Elena Milutinovic | 43c | 1,053$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nadja Mladenovic | 57c | 1,015$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.28 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nadja Mladenovic | 54c | 646.54$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Nadja Mladenovic | 78c | 612.02$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.08 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Nadja Mladenovic | 54c | 333.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Milutinovic | 25c | 320.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0b5ebacked Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 308.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Elena Milutinovic | 22c | 230.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.42 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Elena Milutinovic | 22c | 170$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elena Milutinovic | 29c | 167.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Nadja Mladenovic | 74c | 154.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Nadja Mladenovic | 76c | 154.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 150.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Nadja Mladenovic | 77c | 140.72$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 130.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nadja Mladenovic | 54c | 112.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Elena Milutinovic | 23c | 112.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Nadja Mladenovic | 74c | 69.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nadja Mladenovic | 76c | 57.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Elena Milutinovic | 34c | 57.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Milutinovic | 47c | 56.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Elena Milutinovic | 22c | 54.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Elena Milutinovic | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Elena Milutinovic | 44c | 51.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Elena Milutinovic | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Nadja Mladenovic | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 33.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Elena Milutinovic | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…0538backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 29.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nadja Mladenovic | 56c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Elena Milutinovic | 45c | 25.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Elena Milutinovic | 46c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Elena Milutinovic | 69c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.