CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28948c726c22c1ce09bb493dceb72edd17a20527c79917a581e0c70ec7b07e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof Alliance, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alliance | 3c | 4,484$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WHITEBIRD | 35c | 744.45$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Alliance | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed WHITEBIRD | 46c | 405.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Alliance | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Alliance | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Alliance | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Alliance | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 22c | 179.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WHITEBIRD | 75c | 125.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alliance | 72c | 104.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked WHITEBIRD | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 68c | 90.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 47c | 71.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked WHITEBIRD | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 66c | 69.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Alliance | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 68c | 63.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 76c | 61.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WHITEBIRD | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed WHITEBIRD | 39c | 57.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked WHITEBIRD | 34c | 49.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked WHITEBIRD | 74c | 41.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Alliance | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Alliance | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed WHITEBIRD | 33c | 36.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked WHITEBIRD | 80c | 31.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Alliance | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed Alliance | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Alliance | 66c | 17.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.