Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b0bfd93dcc96f9b841556f43f2308cb1933700a911eb01c464a44e3636fdf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svajdaof Svajda, Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Draxl | 14c | 9,599$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Draxl | 16c | 5,183$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.33 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Draxl | 13c | 3,296$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Draxl | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Svajda | 78c | 355.74$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Draxl | 19c | 308.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Draxl | 27c | 296.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Draxl | 14c | 296$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Svajda | 70c | 285.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Svajda | 73c | 273.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Draxl | 13c | 231.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Draxl | 32c | 222$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Svajda | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Svajda | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Draxl | 20c | 155.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Draxl | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Draxl | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Svajda | 68c | 99.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Svajda | 68c | 76.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Svajda | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Draxl | 30c | 68.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Svajda | 70c | 43.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Draxl | 32c | 38.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Draxl | 33c | 32.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Svajda | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Svajda | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Svajda | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.