Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FearX vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f1bd9a2690b2ba43163e9caefadbe52f718e1a4034d9fc9ca1a4879fd098ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof FearX, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked T1 Academy | 76c | 1,236$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.89 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FearX | 24c | 560.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed T1 Academy | 74c | 411.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FearX | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FearX | 23c | 194.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked FearX | 24c | 130.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed FearX | 24c | 121.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FearX | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FearX | 23c | 102.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked FearX | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed FearX | 25c | 97.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed T1 Academy | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…1285backed FearX | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked T1 Academy | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed T1 Academy | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed T1 Academy | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FearX vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs FearX (+1.5)T1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.