Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2997a6632103d9a3ce13116afe149727e433d118fddd603c596306ceb76fd91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,999.92 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 12,692$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 44c | 11,710$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.02 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 50c | 9,020$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 8,972$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 6,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 5,703$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.97 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 69c | 4,908$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.44 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 78c | 4,227$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 59c | 2,165$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.57 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,640$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.01 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 3c | 1,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,123$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 965.32$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.21 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 25c | 600$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 43c | 419.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 65c | 309.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…fc4dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 200.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 54c | 197.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 56c | 155.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 54c | 149.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 47c | 142.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 34c | 119.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 45c | 114.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 32c | 101.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 47c | 99.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 48c | 83.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed Yes | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 67c | 60.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 54c | 51.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…0b06backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…d05dbacked Yes | 42c | 39.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 36.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe26…3fd6backed No | 58c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.