NHL · resolved market
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Syracuse Crunch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e520ad770ab1a389a84a8c41ef72d82a9d4d212854930b0859f4dbc86e7a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laval Rocketof Laval Rocket, Syracuse Crunch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Syracuse Crunch | 52c | 2,246$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.62 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Laval Rocket | 48c | 835$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 795$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.85 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Syracuse Crunch | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Laval Rocket | 48c | 275$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Laval Rocket | 45c | 104.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Syracuse Crunch | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Laval Rocket | 71c | 50.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Syracuse Crunch | 29c | 35.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Laval Rocket | 48c | 35.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Syracuse Crunch | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.