Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e55d7a575eed1eec5cd65f34103f77591701c300e999bed2e21ac940398c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 4,888$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 25c | 1,021$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 35c | 751.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 703.1$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 589.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.84 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 584.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 557.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 554.34$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 534.93$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 491.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 10c | 412.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 385.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 383.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 307.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 201.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes | 19c | 161.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 32c | 97.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 92.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…eaa6backed Yes | 35c | 67.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…2925backed No | 71c | 56.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 56.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 67c | 52.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 49.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…fb53backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 32c | 42.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…35a6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 66c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked No | 66c | 15.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.