Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29eb0a04f2e69b0f61e2d0b2240b3a09c7cfe76baedb0a74fa60b903a5204d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Ohio Bobcats, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 1,385$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ball State Cardinals | 33c | 1,208$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.18 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Ball State Cardinals | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 900$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Ohio Bobcats | 63c | 786.25$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 37c | 600$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 63c | 325$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Ball State Cardinals | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 16c | 259.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ohio Bobcats | 15c | 139.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Ball State Cardinals | 35c | 99.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ohio Bobcats | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…64abbacked Ohio Bobcats | 65c | 27.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ball State Cardinals | 76c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Ohio Bobcats | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.