Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Ioannis Xilas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1c1a8edc28f1a314a64fadddea8b9b9a5de2317c28c22718b99829994116fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Hugo Dellien, Ioannis Xilas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Ioannis Xilas | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 3,640$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ioannis Xilas | 14c | 3,228$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Ioannis Xilas | 4c | 2,975$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ioannis Xilas | 4c | 2,633$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 2,496$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.67 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ioannis Xilas | 11c | 1,862$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ioannis Xilas | 15c | 970.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 599.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ioannis Xilas | 5c | 498.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 411.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Ioannis Xilas | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ioannis Xilas | 19c | 398.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Ioannis Xilas | 15c | 303$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…f6b2backed Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 285.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 252.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Ioannis Xilas | 4c | 239.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Ioannis Xilas | 12c | 217.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ioannis Xilas | 15c | 180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 111.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ioannis Xilas | 20c | 106.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ioannis Xilas | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 79.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Ioannis Xilas | 16c | 77.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 72.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 71.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…731ebacked Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 70.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Ioannis Xilas | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Hugo Dellien | 77c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Hugo Dellien | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Hugo Dellien | 78c | 22.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Hugo Dellien | 78c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.