CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a21f28a4c4f03beb2f75ccc821afd8f20c53ee2aa4742fa00c862b3ba7c04fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof DashSkins, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed paiN | 55c | 1,002$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.82 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DashSkins | 45c | 574.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DashSkins | 33c | 382.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN | 68c | 367.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked DashSkins | 25c | 306.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed paiN | 53c | 271.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked DashSkins | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DashSkins | 33c | 199.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked paiN | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed paiN | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed DashSkins | 46c | 91.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed DashSkins | 30c | 90.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed DashSkins | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked paiN | 76c | 74.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed paiN | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed DashSkins | 46c | 66.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DashSkins | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked paiN | 71c | 59.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked DashSkins | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…b31fbacked DashSkins | 39c | 43.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed paiN | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed DashSkins | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed DashSkins | 79c | 19.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group DpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.