CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668f473118e7b57e9a4ec5e78686e0566d776a4ad239893aea454fad8362fd42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof DashSkins, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DashSkins | 32c | 899.28$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.57 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 70c | 864.06$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…1ec1backed DashSkins | 46c | 429.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 66c | 407.91$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN | 65c | 391.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed DashSkins | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked DashSkins | 21c | 248.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…1509backed DashSkins | 20c | 247.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed DashSkins | 47c | 212.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed paiN | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed DashSkins | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed paiN | 68c | 98.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed paiN | 50c | 86.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed DashSkins | 33c | 76.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked paiN | 54c | 66.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…5af5backed DashSkins | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed DashSkins | 45c | 53.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…47b9backed paiN | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed paiN | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked paiN | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed paiN | 72c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked paiN | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.