TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Endless Journeyof Donstu Esports, Endless Journey
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports55c838.63$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.662,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Endless Journey50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.252,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Endless Journey53c500.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4641050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports56c451.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports62c298.83$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.536,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Endless Journey38c295.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2475438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Donstu Esports15c277.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.742532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Endless Journey42c240.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.298045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Donstu Esports48c233.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3313751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Endless Journey42c203.07$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.371,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Endless Journey47c202.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.974,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Donstu Esports50c201$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.142339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Donstu Esports51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Endless Journey56c178.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7737140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports64c156.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.333,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Donstu Esports71c153.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Endless Journey33c149.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8516355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked Donstu Esports74c134.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Endless Journey38c131.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3940137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Donstu Esports62c120.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6889046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports51c116.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.874,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Donstu Esports52c115.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.793,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Endless Journey41c114.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.472,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Endless Journey36c109.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6239847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Endless Journey63c90.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Endless Journey40c85.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5720349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Endless Journey40c78.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4983543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Endless Journey46c76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.082,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Donstu Esports63c74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4545754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Endless Journey28c73.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.392,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports68c71.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4336174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports49c69.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1277146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Donstu Esports64c69.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Donstu Esports70c65.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Endless Journey42c61.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…9c0dbacked Donstu Esports29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Donstu Esports50c54.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8842255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ada…1f59backed Endless Journey61c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked Endless Journey45c48.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.72450%12 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports63c47.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Donstu Esports49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Donstu Esports62c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.918753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Endless Journey46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.762,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Endless Journey59c39.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Endless Journey41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.962,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Donstu Esports68c36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4847856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Donstu Esports51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports49c31.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Endless Journey49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6117163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Donstu Esports65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4127156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed Donstu Esports40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Donstu Esports62c21.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4440857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Donstu Esports63c19.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Endless Journey74c17.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Donstu Esports66c15.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.341,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1381…2388backed Donstu Esports80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.