Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4763b2ae1e3f6e6273939806f2b07dad329e9ea41879aba01d8ff26ae756b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 32c | 19,114$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.88 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GLYPH | 70c | 4,237$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GLYPH | 51c | 3,304$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.75 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GLYPH | 49c | 2,953$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.82 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GLYPH | 78c | 2,095$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed GLYPH | 79c | 1,582$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed GLYPH | 71c | 1,462$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked GLYPH | 75c | 1,228$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GLYPH | 74c | 1,096$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 23c | 1,078$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked REKONIX | 20c | 997.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed GLYPH | 50c | 969.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.88 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked REKONIX | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GLYPH | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH | 76c | 499.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 31c | 483.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked REKONIX | 48c | 399.09$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 3c | 390.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 17c | 386.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed REKONIX | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked REKONIX | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked GLYPH | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 17c | 183.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked GLYPH | 76c | 179.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed GLYPH | 55c | 177.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked GLYPH | 62c | 159.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed REKONIX | 47c | 150.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GLYPH | 77c | 134.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GLYPH | 59c | 132.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 76c | 126.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked GLYPH | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 48c | 85.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked REKONIX | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed GLYPH | 48c | 68.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 32c | 58.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked REKONIX | 25c | 54.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked GLYPH | 78c | 46.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed REKONIX | 47c | 42.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed GLYPH | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked GLYPH | 53c | 35.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 38c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed GLYPH | 61c | 33.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed GLYPH | 62c | 31.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked GLYPH | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GLYPH | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed REKONIX | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked REKONIX | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 78c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.