Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aa7b2015d4c2a63bffebac378a353bdfd25b799724ed6d924021b80fc01cfed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof GLYPH, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed REKONIX | 67c | 6,598$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.58 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked GLYPH | 25c | 2,250$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 46c | 1,906$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.64 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed REKONIX | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.7 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GLYPH | 35c | 1,485$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.89 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed GLYPH | 22c | 1,184$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed REKONIX | 73c | 998.95$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 37c | 994$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 28c | 819.3$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GLYPH | 34c | 809.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed GLYPH | 18c | 702.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked GLYPH | 29c | 611.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 63c | 499.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.01 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked GLYPH | 36c | 482.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked GLYPH | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GLYPH | 21c | 338.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GLYPH | 20c | 269.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked GLYPH | 33c | 134.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed GLYPH | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked REKONIX | 62c | 114.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 67c | 105.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed GLYPH | 42c | 103.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GLYPH | 34c | 101.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed REKONIX | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed GLYPH | 40c | 100.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed GLYPH | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 31c | 66.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLYPH | 17c | 60.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked GLYPH | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 69c | 44.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed GLYPH | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLYPH | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 76c | 20.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.