MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4a5316056fc07d199e2aa3d96326f0563f976a2de67d33c293cbc7897a0736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 51c | 33,356$17,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,344.2 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 49c | 30,780$15,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,082.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 55c | 9,298$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.17 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 43c | 7,400$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 48c | 6,242$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 45c | 4,074$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,843$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 33c | 1,811$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.87 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 49c | 1,500$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Guardians | 52c | 1,456$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 50c | 1,090$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.94 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Guardians | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 3c | 649.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Guardians | 49c | 610.24$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 46c | 561.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 49c | 511.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Guardians | 49c | 495.84$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Guardians | 49c | 479.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 47c | 465.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 47c | 430.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 72c | 305$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 33c | 293.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 48c | 216.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 48c | 209.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Guardians | 48c | 206.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f56backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…5506backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…c3febacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…68b5backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…8886backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3d74backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…1edebacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…cbebbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…77d5backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…f023backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…3cf2backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…44e7backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…5aa9backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23a5…a63bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…331bbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…7b38backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…d23cbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…de8ebacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…92b6backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…72e9backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…594fbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…8675backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…bc26backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…cd9abacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…ec7fbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…119fbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23f…8a04backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…422cbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…8dffbacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…c188backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…482dbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b44…54bfbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…3422backed Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…b45ebacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…e3e5backed Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…5c6fbacked Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Guardiansthis page
- Mariners vs. Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.