Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6f8362ba8da402c1f2b8e883f70bedf10ddc60926db60d25ff32a769fa533f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- by Owl Teamof Miposhka Team, by Owl Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed by Owl Team | 1c | 1,741$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.55 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Miposhka Team | 49c | 566.72$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked by Owl Team | 52c | 456.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked by Owl Team | 40c | 399.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked by Owl Team | 50c | 259.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed by Owl Team | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed by Owl Team | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked by Owl Team | 44c | 181.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed by Owl Team | 36c | 165.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…cceabacked Miposhka Team | 68c | 103.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked by Owl Team | 36c | 101$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed Miposhka Team | 60c | 83.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked by Owl Team | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Miposhka Team | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Miposhka Team | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed by Owl Team | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed by Owl Team | 46c | 53.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Miposhka Team | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Miposhka Team | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Miposhka Team | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed by Owl Team | 44c | 32.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed by Owl Team | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…ef91backed Miposhka Team | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed by Owl Team | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed by Owl Team | 49c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Miposhka Team | 46c | 22.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Miposhka Team | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…f9e1backed by Owl Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Miposhka Team | 60c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group BMiposhka Team won
- Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 WinnerMiposhka Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.