Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b781a98eb6bc3f3e60a291318a4af3a3c7774f4bf1c29c2c136e0a917b85420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 2,051$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,568$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 1,002$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 827.47$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 516.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 516.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 512$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 345.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed Over | 17c | 257.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 222.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.03 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 8c | 204.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 173.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 25c | 157.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 98.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 54c | 88.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 76c | 78.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 30.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 56c | 25.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dee8backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 72c | 23.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.