CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ENCE
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be0f44fb8acb8a1a3a8183c6047a96e9ebe6164addd1d59865f153df3d9400b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed HOTU | 50c | 5,530$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.67 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked ENCE | 55c | 2,521$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed HOTU | 62c | 2,391$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.48 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked ENCE | 50c | 2,074$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.27 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed HOTU | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed ENCE | 23c | 1,881$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE | 25c | 1,210$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked ENCE | 54c | 925.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed HOTU | 64c | 816$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed ENCE | 52c | 775$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed HOTU | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ENCE | 52c | 680$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked HOTU | 67c | 613.79$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.55 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed ENCE | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed ENCE | 55c | 546$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed ENCE | 55c | 533.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed ENCE | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed HOTU | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed ENCE | 51c | 281.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed ENCE | 56c | 205.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ENCE | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed ENCE | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed ENCE | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed ENCE | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked HOTU | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed ENCE | 23c | 120.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed HOTU | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed HOTU | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked HOTU | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ENCE | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HOTU | 47c | 55.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked HOTU | 48c | 42.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed HOTU | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked HOTU | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed ENCE | 52c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed ENCE | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed ENCE | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.