Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfeeb08355ab462ed4606fbdab5e6e82d2b6f01c8ab1c2d0486f69a866ff6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof South Florida Bulls, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida Bulls | 27c | 1,109$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked South Florida Bulls | 50c | 974$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked VCU Rams | 70c | 946.84$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VCU Rams | 72c | 571.34$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 52c | 562.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed VCU Rams | 53c | 347$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked South Florida Bulls | 28c | 325$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VCU Rams | 54c | 297$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 281$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked South Florida Bulls | 47c | 204.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 199$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked VCU Rams | 55c | 167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed South Florida Bulls | 13c | 156.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed VCU Rams | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed VCU Rams | 53c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Florida Bulls | 41c | 125.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 9c | 117.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked South Florida Bulls | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked VCU Rams | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed South Florida Bulls | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 90.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed VCU Rams | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed VCU Rams | 59c | 78.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 45.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed South Florida Bulls | 45c | 42.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed South Florida Bulls | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…f1b0backed VCU Rams | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…5d00backed VCU Rams | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed VCU Rams | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed South Florida Bulls | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e043backed VCU Rams | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed VCU Rams | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed VCU Rams | 53c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked VCU Rams | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. VCU Ramsthis page
- South Florida Bulls vs. VCU Rams: O/U 172.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. VCU Rams: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-2.5)VCU Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.