Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c078bd71201a6c243dc73a57fce00e8b1574877d1ed9ea9542486d4e37ad41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucheon FC 1995of Bucheon FC 1995, Gangwon FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Gangwon FC | 37c | 1,436$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.96 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 4c | 1,316$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 25c | 998.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 15c | 643.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.25 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Gangwon FC | 34c | 455.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 26c | 377$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 66c | 328.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Gangwon FC | 43c | 202.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Gangwon FC | 39c | 180.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 62c | 112.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Gangwon FC | 42c | 101.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 17c | 89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gangwon FC | 47c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucheon FC 1995 | 66c | 65.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Gangwon FC | 38c | 39.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Bucheon FC 1995 | 66c | 38.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gangwon FC | 63c | 31.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Gangwon FC | 37c | 27.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.