Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1b45f682648b2d68f6a265ddc4db4c6c42523b33f57521a9f322f34f064a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Under | 58c | 2,110$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,703$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,654$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 26c | 1,152$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Over | 26c | 800.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Over | 69c | 680$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 76c | 319.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 31c | 208$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 177$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 66c | 78.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 64.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 37c | 64.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 71c | 21.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 62c | 20.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 75c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Under | 59c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.