Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae3ab15e00eced7b080bb71666078b178a8813561d9f883de87735c6ef4752b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,880 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 16,766$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,388.86 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 9,225$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Under | 56c | 6,799$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 44c | 2,980$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 2,521$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.34 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Over | 45c | 1,242$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 350.87$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 267.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 43c | 232.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 185.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 81.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 80c | 51.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 73c | 45.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…3684backed Under | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 44c | 45.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 48c | 40.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 61c | 39.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…d157backed Over | 43c | 39.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 45c | 24.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.