Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c328b6a0d4e854ed3b20209f7d73e088652d5af2ab308d141af53621d6fe7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, Vitality.Bee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 11,700$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Solary | 79c | 11,700$9,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality.Bee | 1c | 3,775$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary | 77c | 3,154$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.89 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Vitality.Bee | 23c | 1,621$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.55 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Vitality.Bee | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Vitality.Bee | 20c | 1,489$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Solary | 80c | 1,417$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Solary | 78c | 1,014$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Vitality.Bee | 29c | 701.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Vitality.Bee | 9c | 699.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 649.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Solary | 76c | 562.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Solary | 77c | 556.36$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Solary | 77c | 554.27$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Solary | 79c | 519.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Vitality.Bee | 18c | 494.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Vitality.Bee | 24c | 419.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Vitality.Bee | 27c | 405.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Solary | 76c | 404.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 402.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Vitality.Bee | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 308.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Solary | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…f100backed Vitality.Bee | 21c | 249.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Vitality.Bee | 25c | 201.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality.Bee | 32c | 187.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked Solary | 77c | 175.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Solary | 77c | 171.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Solary | 77c | 140.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efd…67e3backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 137.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 129.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vitality.Bee | 24c | 116.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Vitality.Bee | 18c | 110.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…e04bbacked Vitality.Bee | 24c | 106.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Vitality.Bee | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Solary | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Solary | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Vitality.Bee | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vitality.Bee | 18c | 92.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Solary | 77c | 91.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…4691backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Vitality.Bee | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Vitality.Bee | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Solary | 80c | 58.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Solary | 80c | 51.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…90b9backed Solary | 75c | 51.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Solary | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Solary | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Solary | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Solary | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.