College Football · resolved market
Florida International vs. UConn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3b61b33371f06b545e7623134ee868799c33053ebf09623dd5ed85120b50d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Florida International, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida International | 4c | 15,321$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.63 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UConn | 72c | 834.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida International | 28c | 734.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UConn | 72c | 726$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Florida International | 30c | 464.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Florida International | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UConn | 72c | 210.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida International | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UConn | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida International | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Florida International | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Florida International | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UConn | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed UConn | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed UConn | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed UConn | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…5792backed UConn | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed UConn | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International vs. UConnthis page
- Florida International vs. UConn: O/U 52.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.