CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c41a00039bbe8bea0ee044254d079148acd11b801a989f08b32b86bead66b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof HEROIC Academy, TNT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HEROIC Academy | 55c | 3,064$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.49 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HEROIC Academy | 63c | 2,130$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 1,155$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.22 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 1,003$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed TNT | 75c | 918.6$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed TNT | 61c | 829.88$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.52 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNT | 28c | 605.13$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TNT | 30c | 253.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked TNT | 28c | 240.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNT | 64c | 183.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNT | 42c | 171.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed TNT | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TNT | 34c | 163.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TNT | 59c | 150.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TNT | 62c | 104.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed TNT | 64c | 100.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed TNT | 65c | 98.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNT | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 33.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed HEROIC Academy | 63c | 24.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsHEROIC Academy won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs TNT - Map 2 WinnerTNT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.