CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6e96ff92238a95b4bf68ae8a4e3054d4fd7ef37a8c819667ce6d0cff209295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 1,185$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.29 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked megoshort | 24c | 960.08$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…8d38backed megoshort | 24c | 613.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 433.71$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 19c | 257.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed megoshort | 20c | 240.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed megoshort | 25c | 193$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed G2 Ares | 71c | 156.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 23c | 130.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 29c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked megoshort | 22c | 72.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed megoshort | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked megoshort | 25c | 64.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed megoshort | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed G2 Ares | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…c028backed megoshort | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked G2 Ares | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs megoshort - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.