Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6ff437c4954ad831e44ef79434db9fee9a65b2ea4112d79f52cc43b2529128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof Nongshim Esports Academy, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 57c | 7,048$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.44 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 5,234$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 688.51$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 500.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 305.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 229.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 219.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 42c | 201.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1a…6049backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 159.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 126.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 86.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 61.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…6a2abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Rolster Challengers | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.