Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Corentin Denolly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c7452bb23fc1b818ffb7fdad5203d64cc1e6b35065805fac63a38c8e68b2ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Napolitanoof Stefano Napolitano, Corentin Denolly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Corentin Denolly | 0c | 4,921$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…2d4bbacked Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,231$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…7085backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,127$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,116$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…db16backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,085$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…acecbacked Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,065$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…b752backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed Corentin Denolly | 25c | 1,038$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…d55dbacked Corentin Denolly | 26c | 979$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…b20ebacked Corentin Denolly | 26c | 964$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…13fdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 906$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…2ce0backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 873$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…5c79backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 825$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…1cc8backed Corentin Denolly | 26c | 808$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Corentin Denolly | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 739$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…548dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 692$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…a9e5backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…67c6backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 581$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…5146backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 573$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Corentin Denolly | 24c | 564.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…f1f3backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 554$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Corentin Denolly | 8c | 534.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…b768backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 530$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…4ad2backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 525$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…e339backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 504$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 473$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…71d8backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 465$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…cc21backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 454$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…a7b9backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 434$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Corentin Denolly | 6c | 413.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…b1fbbacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 408$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…100abacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…bb91backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…e156backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 346$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Corentin Denolly | 9c | 328.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…4d0ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 325$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Corentin Denolly | 21c | 302.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 299$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…93c6backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 291$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 266.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Stefano Napolitano | 76c | 262.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefano Napolitano | 80c | 181.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 180.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Corentin Denolly | 20c | 168$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Corentin Denolly | 20c | 156.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Corentin Denolly | 24c | 128$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…adddbacked Corentin Denolly | 9c | 117.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Corentin Denolly | 19c | 101.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Corentin Denolly | 23c | 81.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Corentin Denolly | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Corentin Denolly | 23c | 65.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…e537backed Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Corentin Denolly | 18c | 60.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Corentin Denolly | 24c | 51.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Corentin Denolly | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Stefano Napolitano | 80c | 15.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.