Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd1108f33670c2f61d08c1af63ee74d3d8b3a6629f09f890faab89bf2dacef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Cloud9, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 65c | 2,334$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.87 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Cloud9 | 35c | 1,871$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Cloud9 | 35c | 1,035$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cloud9 | 27c | 884.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Cloud9 | 35c | 648.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Cloud9 | 34c | 475.61$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 71c | 441.14$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 64c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…a81bbacked Cloud9 | 38c | 265.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 250.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Liquid | 64c | 244.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Cloud9 | 35c | 230.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Liquid | 69c | 154.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Liquid | 64c | 140.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Cloud9 | 35c | 112.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cloud9 | 20c | 95.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 56.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Team Liquid | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid | 75c | 41.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 20.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.