Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7905dd408aee7c92eec469153d5de2b18b841873f3ec2e1e8b4fff2c5b374ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 27c | 2,794$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.62 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 1,375$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.19 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 73c | 1,363$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.73 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Over | 51c | 1,152$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.91 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 73c | 1,071$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.19 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 516.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 500$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 59c | 256.93$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 21c | 126.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 79c | 126.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 58c | 91.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked Over | 75c | 83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 69.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…dbe1backed Over | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 43.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 71c | 36.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 71c | 29.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 25.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 73c | 19.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.