Serie A · resolved market
Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 2 AC Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce32a244c8993eed32b4a5dbf53da1ae97ea7afcfb4de13a2eaccc1b3388fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,655$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 628$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…7e8dbacked Yes | 10c | 343.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 220.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…96babacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 12c | 84.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 69.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 51c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed No | 77c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed No | 75c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 2 AC Milan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 0 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 0 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 2 AC Milan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 0 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 2 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 2 AC Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.