Serie A · resolved market
Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 0 AC Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803ea90ed6213c6552e282c0180d65f21790da44b326bc54f15ce639e8561b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 6,257$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.56 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 992.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 500.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 9c | 196.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 9c | 183.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 9c | 166$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…17dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 0 AC Milan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 2 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 0 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 2 AC Milan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 0 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 2 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 3 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 AC Milan?No won
- Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 2 AC Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.