South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d21dc9049e30b487ff602aaccfa4684623f5b2edadb213f740397453bb6c2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 6,573$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.94 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 16c | 791.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 586.81$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 18c | 351.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 74c | 312.14$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 264.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 16c | 243.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 236.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 186.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 150.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 57c | 148.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 99.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 89.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 82.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…143abacked No | 58c | 79.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 75.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 62.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 22c | 48.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 57c | 25.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 57c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.