Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d373dbfc42ddac5bf8fcbf2832cc7e95f079b4e112d349beb390c3fd7748d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acostaof Izquierdo, Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Izquierdo | 19c | 2,626$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Izquierdo | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Izquierdo | 21c | 1,265$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Izquierdo | 19c | 1,188$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Izquierdo | 12c | 1,035$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Izquierdo | 18c | 948$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Izquierdo | 15c | 668.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Izquierdo | 24c | 577.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Izquierdo | 19c | 549$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Izquierdo | 18c | 526$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Izquierdo | 16c | 387$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Izquierdo | 27c | 265.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Izquierdo | 13c | 238.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Izquierdo | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Izquierdo | 20c | 178.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Izquierdo | 20c | 158.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Acosta | 79c | 153.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Acosta | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Izquierdo | 10c | 129.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Acosta | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Izquierdo | 21c | 93.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Izquierdo | 15c | 73.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Izquierdo | 16c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Acosta | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Acosta | 72c | 66.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Acosta | 71c | 60.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Acosta | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Acosta | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Izquierdo | 21c | 51.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Acosta | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Acosta | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acosta | 75c | 21.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.