Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d97a1c6905189244fc935164cf4473ce2bd8362f07a704ff25e319f33bf10eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 20c | 2,974$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.17 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,642$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,396$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 22c | 999.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 873.53$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 652.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed Yes | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 19c | 438$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 3c | 404.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 20c | 373.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 359.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 80c | 260.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 78c | 254.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 20c | 221.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 16c | 220.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 20c | 139.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 9c | 136.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 80c | 133.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Yes | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…21adbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…cbd4backed Yes | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…d1babacked Yes | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…0695backed Yes | 78c | 84.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Yes | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 16c | 74.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…91e3backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Yes | 80c | 37.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…41a6backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 79c | 33.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…6e77backed Yes | 80c | 24.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 79c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 78c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…9ea3backed Yes | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-19?this page
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-19?No won
- Will Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.