La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da82d654906ed6a386c6156a92089c3a888e16cc7746abe8df300964c8b0047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,682 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 363,831$181,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,179.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 197,732$98,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,866.11 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 140,000$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 13,987$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 51c | 13,903$7,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.53 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 7,902$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.02 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 2,782$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 2,689$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.16 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.2 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,700$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.2 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 53c | 1,644$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 847.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.63 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 51c | 489.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Over | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 55c | 362.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 55c | 336.61$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 46c | 175.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 41c | 168.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 149.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 123.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 51c | 117.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 51c | 110.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 101.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 52c | 88.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 52c | 75.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 67.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 67.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 66.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Over | 43c | 48.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 59c | 38.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 52c | 30.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Over | 48c | 22.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 60c | 20.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.