La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc249838d887f9efcb595b58ddb2fc45a411594ae325bac141d6d0cfd856ad457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UD Las Palmasof UD Las Palmas, AD Ceuta FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked AD Ceuta FC | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.81 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UD Las Palmas | 32c | 1,013$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked UD Las Palmas | 32c | 779.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.29 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…2c78backed UD Las Palmas | 29c | 274$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…05a8backed AD Ceuta FC | 71c | 249$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…55a4backed AD Ceuta FC | 71c | 218$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…4fc8backed UD Las Palmas | 29c | 211$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…9544backed AD Ceuta FC | 71c | 185$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…c704backed UD Las Palmas | 29c | 173$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…6382backed AD Ceuta FC | 71c | 167$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…1658backed UD Las Palmas | 29c | 161$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed AD Ceuta FC | 70c | 142.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked UD Las Palmas | 30c | 118.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UD Las Palmas | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed UD Las Palmas | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed UD Las Palmas | 32c | 35.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed UD Las Palmas | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed UD Las Palmas | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UD Las Palmas | 71c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)this page
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.