CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: Asian Closed Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db58c187dd712e749974ec09049d08f45c01047be59150f226c37238fd1ea9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Huns Esportsof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked The Huns Esports | 59c | 124,360$73,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,031.26 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 119,976$49,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,190.18 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked The Huns Esports | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 556.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 38c | 149.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…29d1backed The Huns Esports | 59c | 131.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 109.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed The Huns Esports | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked The Huns Esports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked The Huns Esports | 71c | 45.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked The Huns Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 68c | 23.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8653…d687backed The Huns Esports | 59c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed The Huns Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.