CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db64fd23622325fdfd09fb31addef00b2084c53d64dd5c4d97aea5556556172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN Academy | 57c | 1,336$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.86 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 38c | 781.79$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed paiN Academy | 49c | 520$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Grêmio Esports | 40c | 405$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed paiN Academy | 19c | 331.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 59c | 266.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed paiN Academy | 62c | 201.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 197.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Grêmio Esports | 38c | 195.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN Academy | 46c | 184.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 67c | 182.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Grêmio Esports | 77c | 150.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed paiN Academy | 56c | 149$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy | 40c | 141.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Grêmio Esports | 33c | 136.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed paiN Academy | 43c | 119.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Grêmio Esports | 43c | 114.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grêmio Esports | 51c | 114.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Grêmio Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy | 35c | 98.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 91.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 71c | 88.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked paiN Academy | 36c | 81.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…d904backed paiN Academy | 60c | 75.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Grêmio Esports | 39c | 66.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed paiN Academy | 54c | 63.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed paiN Academy | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Grêmio Esports | 44c | 57.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked paiN Academy | 56c | 51.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Grêmio Esports | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Grêmio Esports | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Grêmio Esports | 75c | 33.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grêmio Esports | 69c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed paiN Academy | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN Academy | 44c | 23.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…70cabacked Grêmio Esports | 73c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Grêmio Esports | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageGrêmio Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.