Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ddc72188e5ff259e2100541b32e5dc03ca1fe831943e911f5e6d6b40cf35733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9dc…6a9fbacked No | 47c | 260.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked No | 47c | 251.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed No | 47c | 248.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…7855backed No | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed No | 47c | 246.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…a607backed No | 47c | 244.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…521ebacked No | 47c | 241.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…504fbacked No | 47c | 240.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…d733backed No | 47c | 240.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…3ea0backed No | 47c | 240.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…5cb5backed No | 47c | 240.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…2838backed No | 47c | 232.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed No | 47c | 225.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…db7ebacked No | 47c | 224.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked No | 47c | 224.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of April?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of April?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of April?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.