TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State Aggies

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Utah State Aggiesof Colorado State Rams, Utah State Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,591 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies77c1,713$1,311 inWon+$402.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State Aggies79c1,392$1,096 inWon+$295.891,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Colorado State Rams23c1,250$288 inLost-$287.561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado State Rams25c700$175 inLost-$17529444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado State Rams6c460.15$28 inLost-$27.751,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado State Rams23c411.79$94 inLost-$94.061,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Colorado State Rams19c247.69$47 inLost-$47.121,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams20c200$40 inLost-$402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Colorado State Rams19c200$38 inLost-$3827048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams22c172$38 inLost-$38.252,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Colorado State Rams12c108.33$13 inLost-$1364322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Utah State Aggies76c105$80 inWon+$25.28939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Utah State Aggies77c105$81 inWon+$24.154643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Colorado State Rams24c100$24 inLost-$244037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Utah State Aggies76c91$69 inWon+$21.847255.6%40 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Colorado State Rams22c83.16$18 inLost-$18.39838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Utah State Aggies79c27$21 inWon+$5.674537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.