Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2edc88fb93756a8f3ca0fa711de47a0b0294de02af97a6568a5e2910daae241e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah State Aggiesof Utah State Aggies, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 53c | 5,077$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colorado State Rams | 43c | 535$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado State Rams | 42c | 418$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 268.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colorado State Rams | 42c | 254$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Utah State Aggies | 50c | 99.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Colorado State Rams | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-8.5)this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 146.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 147.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 148.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)Utah State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.