Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hooligans vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO3) - EBL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2f21f399b32282e85b8b083e04b1731df7ab3d238952701fd315068c7ba4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lenovo Legion Honvédof Hooligans, Lenovo Legion Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 58c | 618.43$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hooligans | 44c | 550.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hooligans | 30c | 158.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 65c | 105.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 70c | 52.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Hooligans | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 62c | 35.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Hooligans | 38c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Hooligans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 46c | 22.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 64c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Lenovo Legion Honvéd | 76c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.