CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e57ee347ec606fb4416128e79206d761aa61bf32a1547b95e2aa98e808d4039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof mellren, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5011…94b4backed mellren | 5c | 1,320$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 47c | 641$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 595.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed mellren | 12c | 501.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed mellren | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 318$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 305.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 289$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed mellren | 52c | 240$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed mellren | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed mellren | 52c | 192.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked mellren | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed mellren | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 147.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 145.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 139$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed mellren | 12c | 129.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 78c | 126$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Spirit Academy | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit Academy | 76c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed mellren | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 98.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed mellren | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked mellren | 22c | 85.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed mellren | 31c | 75.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 71.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 78c | 57.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 49.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed mellren | 31c | 41.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed mellren | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 PlayoffsSpirit Academy won
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.