Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5d643ea99d6b7eb0fababc788d336950ddcabea798cac116cd57a98b648f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 43c | 3,506$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 13c | 1,478$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,225$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.26 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,119$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 44c | 1,110$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 939.69$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.19 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 610.72$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 584.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 568.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 473.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 40c | 352.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 76c | 273$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 180.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 132$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 127.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 91.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 64c | 53.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 59c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…a770backed Over | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Angers SCO won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 0.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.