Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e897f18c8962ce18777966444c3af6ab427e9dcad3bbc7bc043a74d49134fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 1,234$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…9ddebacked Over | 54c | 930.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 54c | 559.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 538.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 468.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 49c | 406.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 282.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Over | 53c | 187.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 54c | 184.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 47c | 184.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 74.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 48c | 54.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 50c | 53.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 45c | 48.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…ded1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 47c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…43b3backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 45c | 26.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerCôte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.