CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom (BO5) - LOOP Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9177e03d5d7b8c6d03c5f2b1e16b47ec0e0c97b7018488e786d3e9e038be0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, Rare Atom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,016 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rare Atom | 1c | 4,142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rare Atom | 12c | 1,230$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Rare Atom | 2c | 1,178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed Rare Atom | 17c | 1,159$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Rare Atom | 4c | 797.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rare Atom | 21c | 685.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Rare Atom | 15c | 564.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Lynn Vision | 75c | 398.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…8a61backed Rare Atom | 19c | 322.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Rare Atom | 35c | 285.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Rare Atom | 27c | 263.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Lynn Vision | 62c | 251.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Rare Atom | 34c | 248.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…49b2backed Lynn Vision | 74c | 213.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lynn Vision | 73c | 201.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Rare Atom | 26c | 156.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Rare Atom | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…5adabacked Rare Atom | 26c | 122.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Lynn Vision | 75c | 119.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 119.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked Rare Atom | 18c | 102.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Rare Atom | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Lynn Vision | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rare Atom | 20c | 99.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Rare Atom | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Lynn Vision | 58c | 74.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 73.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rare Atom | 23c | 69.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rare Atom | 38c | 66.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Rare Atom | 24c | 52.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Rare Atom | 29c | 35.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Lynn Vision | 71c | 33.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rare Atom | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…441fbacked Lynn Vision | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lynn Vision | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Lynn Vision | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Lynn Vision | 75c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e8…5cffbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lynn Vision | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom (BO5) - LOOP Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.